Thursday, October 22, 2020

SL's foreign currency debt falls beneath US$ 500mn this year

 


The remaining foreign currency-denominated debt owed by Sri Lanka for repayment over the remainder of the year falls below US$ 500 million, like last week, the Central Bank settled its US$ 1.0 billion sovereign debt due on October 4, including coupon payments due at the time of settlement. 'On October 2, 2020, on behalf of the Government of Sri Lanka, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka effectively finalized the settlement of the maturing US dollar 1 billion Foreign Sovereign Bond (ISB) along with the due coupon payments,' the Central Bank said in a statement released on Friday.

With this settlement, Sri Lanka now has a remaining foreign currency debt of US$ 438.6 million maturing from October 5 to December 31. Hence, alleviating fears about the country's ability to fulfill its foreign currency debt in the face of impaired access to international capital markets to roll over such debt triggered by market unrest caused by a pandemic.

Last week, Moody's Investors Service issued a rare two-tier downgraded from B2 to Caa1 on the Sri Lankan sovereign, revising the outlook to stable from negative, citing Sri Lanka's high risks of debt refinancing, strained fiscal deficit and governance, and institutional vulnerabilities. Many, including the private sector, were shocked by the fact that the rating reduction came on the verge of a billion-dollar bond settlement and, despite the government's repeated assurances of its capability and commitment to connecting debt obligations as they come due.

 This settlement and other recent positive improvements in the Sri Lankan economy have positively responded from the domestic foreign exchange market. The expected inflows to the domestic foreign exchange market, backed by constructive steps taken by the State of Sri Lanka and the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, are expected to reinforce market sentiment further in the period ahead," it added.

The data shows that Sri Lanka has US$ 4.6 billion in foreign currency debt repayments due in 2021. This data includes principal payments of US$ 3.6 billion and interest payments of US$ 996 million. By the end of August, Sri Lanka had US$ 7.4 billion in foreign currency reserves. Still, debt settlements could have dented their position, as, during September, there were US$ 991.2 million in debt repayments and US$ 1.031 million in bond settlements on October 2.

Nevertheless, the narrowing gap in the merchandise trade account due to the rapid recovery of exports and the slowing down of imports, and the $700 million owed by the China Development Bank as the additional tranche of the $1.2 billion syndicated facility could partially offset the full impact of debt repayments on the reserves.

OSL Take: The decrease in foreign debt in Sri Lanka is indicative of the level of confidence in Sri Lanka's economy and investment interest. Therefore foreign investors could confidently explore investment opportunities in Sri Lankan bonds.

Sri Lanka's export portfolio expanded continuously, and now poultry will add to the long list of exports.  Further improving the discussion between the World Bank and the Sri Lankan government would result in a further increase in development assistance to the island nation. This initiative is an encouraging sign for foreign businesses/investors keen on doing business with Sri Lanka since the interest shown by multinational lending agencies would help secure funding for large scale projects.

 VBS/AT/22102020/Z_TB6

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