Friday, December 6, 2019

Economic Targets for 2025 of the New Government



With a domestic market with a small per capita income of only 20 million customers, Sri Lanka needs to look ahead of its boundaries and increase its global competitiveness to sustain fast and long-term growth. To this end, the newly elected government has set Vision 2025 of Sri Lanka which to set out a reform course to make the country more competitive and to lift the living standards of all Sri Lankans. Such changes range from the immediate need to overhaul labour law to reforming social security network systems and promoting the development and digitisation of software. Here's how Sri Lanka intends to move towards a more competitive and inclusive upper-middle-income country and a few macroeconomic targets they plan to reach during 2020-25:
·         To achieve an average rate of economic growth of 6.5 per cent or higher.
·         Achieve per capita income over USD 6500.
·         Maintaing unemployment rate less than four percent.
·         The rate of annual inflation not exceeding 5 per cent.
·         Budget deficit at less than four per cent of GDP
·         A single-digit rate of interest
·         Stabilise the exchange value of the rupee at a stable level
Macroeconomic Reforms
The total volume of foreign loans the present government has raised to achieve various political objectives, to advance personal agendas, and for day-to-day expenses is equal to the total foreign investments Sri Lanka has increased from 1948, the year of independence, to 2014. The debt trap they will thus inherit from the present regime may compel us to raise foreign loans to an extent just sufficient for developmental tasks. They will take steps to manage the problems of external indebtedness through measures such as promoting domestic investments, reducing import expenditures, and raising export incomes.
New Tax Policy
The prevailing tax system has contributed to the collapse of the domestic economy by the entirely discouraging internal entrepreneur. We would, instead, introduce a tax system that would help promote products in the country. New tax law will replace the current Inland Revenue Act. An original taxpayer-friendly simple tax system will introduce so that it will remain active for several years, without changing haphazardly and frequently.
A New System of Banking
To make a rapid leap forward in economic terms, Sri Lanka ought to develop a reliable production economy. They will introduce and establish a banking system that will encourage industrial fields such as import-export trade, construction industry, small and medium scale enterprises, and agriculture through long-term loans at concessionary interest rates. This initiative will implement through a newly established ‘National Development Bank.’
Capital Market Reforms
The critical action needed to rejuvenate the Colombo stock market is to regenerate investor confidence in it. Investors ensured that they have a practical program of work to achieve this.  The operational culture of the stock market ought to be made more ethical to eliminate the negative attitudes of the investors and the general public about the stock market. For this, they will make the regulation by the Securities and Exchange Commission more effective. We will also take effective legal action against corrupt practices concerning stock market operations.

OSL Take: The move by the newly elected government of Sri Lanka to formulate a national policy on economic development would undoubtedly result in the creation of new business/investment opportunities as well as contribute to the overall development of the county’s economy. Sri Lanka is already engaged in an aggressive development program that covers all vital economic sectors islandwide. Sri Lanka also has a strong export sector that has been supported by many trade agreements as well as trade concessions enjoyed by the country with foreign countries. Therefore, international businesses/investors could explore business/investment opportunities in Sri Lanka’s industrial sector.
VBS/AT/06122019/Z_TB2

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